2006 State Election, March 18
2006 State Election, March 18
From today's 'Tiser.
http://theadvertiser.news.com.au/common ... 82,00.html
Liberals can't take a trick
COMMENT
14jan06
THE Liberal Party no longer can deny the trends. It is in diabolical strife.
For months, polls have suggested the party will struggle to win any marginal seats held by Labor although it may regain Hammond and Mt Gambier from independents Peter Lewis and Rory McEwen respectively.
Until late last year, senior Liberal MPs were telling the party room the party was in its best shape to win the March 18 election. Wednesday's poll suggests they were deluding themselves. The party cannot put any positive spin on these figures.
The Liberals will lose the election - badly. Their vote has collapsed in the metropolitan area, where elections are won. In the country, the party's heartland, its vote is starting to slide.
Perhaps, if the party had started releasing some detailed policies much earlier - in the way Mike Rann did in Opposition with his Directions Statements - it might have made some inroads.
Federally, Liberal Party strategists are tearing out their hair and wondering why Opposition Leader Rob Kerin has not taken a higher profile and gone on the attack more instead of leaving it to shadow ministers.
If this poll had been taken nine months ago, the Opposition may have been able to dismiss it by saying there still was time to turn things around.
This one is only nine weeks from election day.
Everything has fallen into place for Labor. Even its Achilles heels of health and electricity no longer loom as possible vote losers. Just how much room the Liberals have to manoeuvre will depend on the Mid-Year Budget Review which should have been released.
That will contain the figures enabling Opposition treasury spokesman Rob Lucas to cost his party's election policies and work out just how much financial relief can be offered to voters in the lead-up to the election.
Judging by these poll figures, he had better hope there is a huge war chest.
The Liberals are going to have to come up with the biggest electoral spending promises in state history to avoid a Rannslide.
http://theadvertiser.news.com.au/common ... 82,00.html
Liberals can't take a trick
COMMENT
14jan06
THE Liberal Party no longer can deny the trends. It is in diabolical strife.
For months, polls have suggested the party will struggle to win any marginal seats held by Labor although it may regain Hammond and Mt Gambier from independents Peter Lewis and Rory McEwen respectively.
Until late last year, senior Liberal MPs were telling the party room the party was in its best shape to win the March 18 election. Wednesday's poll suggests they were deluding themselves. The party cannot put any positive spin on these figures.
The Liberals will lose the election - badly. Their vote has collapsed in the metropolitan area, where elections are won. In the country, the party's heartland, its vote is starting to slide.
Perhaps, if the party had started releasing some detailed policies much earlier - in the way Mike Rann did in Opposition with his Directions Statements - it might have made some inroads.
Federally, Liberal Party strategists are tearing out their hair and wondering why Opposition Leader Rob Kerin has not taken a higher profile and gone on the attack more instead of leaving it to shadow ministers.
If this poll had been taken nine months ago, the Opposition may have been able to dismiss it by saying there still was time to turn things around.
This one is only nine weeks from election day.
Everything has fallen into place for Labor. Even its Achilles heels of health and electricity no longer loom as possible vote losers. Just how much room the Liberals have to manoeuvre will depend on the Mid-Year Budget Review which should have been released.
That will contain the figures enabling Opposition treasury spokesman Rob Lucas to cost his party's election policies and work out just how much financial relief can be offered to voters in the lead-up to the election.
Judging by these poll figures, he had better hope there is a huge war chest.
The Liberals are going to have to come up with the biggest electoral spending promises in state history to avoid a Rannslide.
It's all up to how Rann handles the egg farmer issue.
If he refuses to subsidise their shitty chicken coops to prop up their inefficient industry against australian competitors, then i'm voting liberal!
...hopefully a wheel falls off the tram or something otherwise we're going to have 3 years of this egg farming shit.
If he refuses to subsidise their shitty chicken coops to prop up their inefficient industry against australian competitors, then i'm voting liberal!
...hopefully a wheel falls off the tram or something otherwise we're going to have 3 years of this egg farming shit.
Interesting to note today's Tiser front page:
"Fair and balanced"
A headline about how fantastic the Libs are, and a subline about how the ALP are falling apart. Also happened to be the issue they decide to hand out free in Rundle Mall. Hmm...KERIN PLEDGE TO FIX KILLER ROAD
ROB Kerin's Liberal Opposition will today pledge to make the treacherous Adelaide to Victor Harbor road a four-lane, $130 million highway....
GILLARD FANS LABOR FLAMES
FACTIONALISM was an out-of-control and destructive cancer eating away at the Labor Party's fabric, frontbencher Julia Gillard said last night....
"Fair and balanced"
There's one thing that few people know about the egg debate. The eggs that the media claim are flooding in from interstate are actually from SA itself. These eggs are just packaged interstate, and the labels on them claim they were from other states. I am aware of this because I have spoken to people who have families involved in this business.
Typical media lopsided crap.
Typical media lopsided crap.
Nice photoshop work bdm! I'm not quite sure about the priorities of the Advertiser. I mean, they put the Libs $130m "fix the killer road" plan on the front page even though the Libs will more than likely not get in to implement it and yet they put the $500m "Balfours Project" well back inside the newspaper even though this will make a big difference to the Adelaide skyline and create 2000 jobs and IT'S a goer!
I've commented on the questionable quality of some of the articles in this paper and I have also wondered why they bother with those stupid polls in each issue. Anyone with half a brain will know that a poll is worthless if the sample is only a few hundred at best and not taken randomly but rather depends on a proportion of the population with the care and ability to SMS.
I've commented on the questionable quality of some of the articles in this paper and I have also wondered why they bother with those stupid polls in each issue. Anyone with half a brain will know that a poll is worthless if the sample is only a few hundred at best and not taken randomly but rather depends on a proportion of the population with the care and ability to SMS.
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