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UrbanSG
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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#301 Post by UrbanSG » Thu Sep 18, 2008 9:09 am

Here comes the credit crisis impact, hitting Sydney the hardest but I wouldn't be surprised if it starts to hit other sectors and cities soon. I don't think Adelaide is immune despite the defence an impending mining boom.

Article from the Australian website:
US crisis shock waves hit local leasing
Bridget Carter | September 18, 2008

FINANCIAL giants Babcock & Brown, failed New York investment bank Lehman Brothers and a number of other tenants are understood to be attempting to offload up to 10 floors of office space in Australia's most expensive skyscrapers as the global credit crisis continues to cause shock waves through financial markets.

Stricken investment bank Babcock & Brown has unofficially placed the three floors it had for expansion, out of the 10 levels it occupied at Sydney's Chifley Tower, up for sub-lease.

At Sydney's Governor Phillip Tower, three floors that housed about 130 staff of failed finance firm Lehman Brothers is also anticipated to be up for grabs.

That follows the Wall Street giant's bankruptcy filing this week, although the building's owner GPT Group said that for now it was "business as usual" for staff there.

Tenants of the 54-floor Governor Phillip Tower complex on Farrer Place include a number of parties burnt by the global credit crisis, including Citigroup and Merrill Lynch, which occupies about 5000sqm.

Tricom and Octaviar also had their offices there.

Collectively, more than 13,000sqm of premium office space is on the market in Sydney's central business district on the back of the sub-prime fallout.

Premium office space in a tower such as Governor Phillip rents at up to $1000 per square metre per annum and last year was strongly sought after.

But now, industry insiders question whether the owners will find parties willing to pay full price, with more space expected to come up for lease if financial giants suffer further and axe more workers.

ING Office Fund chief executive Tino Tanfara said vacancy rates in Sydney for office space rose slightly in the past month to 4.3 per cent across all classes.

He predicted "rent holidays" would be offered to fill the space by the financial firms.

"Premium (office space) is still pretty tight, but demand has really slowed a lot and tenants have been more prone to stay in the buildings," Mr Tanfara said. "I think lease rates will drop because the owners will want to lease it out quickly.

"If they really cut those rents that will have ramifications across the board."

Cameron Williams, NSW director of office and retail leasing for Colliers International, said Lehman Brothers moved into two Governor Phillip Tower floors about a year ago.

A third floor was added for expansion, but attempts to sublease that space had been unsuccessful.

"From the start they put that floor on the market," he said.

Mr Williams said the fallout from the announcements out of the US this week "remains to be seen".

"It may become direct space on the market through the owners," he said.

Rent generated from Lehman would be about $3 million a year, he said.

The building's part owner, GPT Group, is trying to sell assets to drive down debt.

Dexus Property Group owns a half share of the building, while the Lend Lease fund APPF owns the remainder.

The parties should be able to cover rent for up to a year with money that should have been placed in a trust, to be used if the firm struck trouble.

"It comes down to GPT's ability to re-let the premises in the time frame," Mr Williams said.

Meanwhile, the space offered by Babcock and Brown in the nearby 42-floor Chifley Tower, on the corner of Hunter and Phillip Streets, had been on offer for two weeks, Mr Williams said.

"That is informally on the market at the moment to sublease," he said.

Other parties understood to be sub-leasing space include administrator-run firm Octaviar, based in the Governor Macquarie Tower arm of the complex, Citigroup, Bank of America and Challenger Financial Services Group.

The debt-ridden Allco Finance Group is also understood to be offloading space at the Gateway Building at Macquarie Place after already sub-leasing part of its office to logistics giant Brambles.

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#302 Post by Wayno » Thu Sep 18, 2008 9:15 am

Thank our lucky stars that SA is a bit less "handcuffed" to the US. Big business in NSW & Vic will suffer the most from the US downturn. We are obviously not immune, but i'm certainly thankful about the continued growth in china & india!
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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#303 Post by skyliner » Sat Sep 20, 2008 12:36 pm

Right on the nail there mate! Hope it doesn't affect China too much and bring a comensurate flow on here.

SA - STATE ON THE MOVE.
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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#304 Post by Adelarch » Wed Oct 29, 2008 7:44 pm

UrbanSG wrote:I found a copy of the April 2008 Knight Frank Office Market Overview by chance today on the internet. Overall it is very positive. Makes for an interesting read. Particularly page 6 with tenant requirements. The ATO not is mentioned as it was in the AFR but that may a print timing issue. The other major requirements are listed though.

Also page 4 is interesting, some mooted developments I had not heard of before.

Hope this link works.

http://www.knightfrank.com/ResearchRepo ... /11336.pdf
..dredging up an old thread. Was looking through Loucas Zahos website after seeing the new renders for 82 Flinders St and found a (possibly outdated) render of 62-66 Currie Street as referred to in this document. Incidentally its only a couple of doors down from our beloved 20-22 Currie St...something very melbourne about it:
Image

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#305 Post by crawf » Wed Oct 29, 2008 7:56 pm

WOW


What the hell has happened to this city in the past 2 years - major focus on PT, Flinders Interchange, Rundle Lantern, TOD projects, interesting designs, increased development etc. :D

edit - reason: made no sense, half asleep and its only 8:17pm :shock:
Last edited by crawf on Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#306 Post by Adelarch » Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:10 pm

crawf wrote:WOW


What the hell is going in this city in the past 2 years - major focus on PT, Flinders Interchange, Rundle Lantern, TOD projects, interesting designs, increased development etc. :D
yep its awesome! Personally I'm hoping to move back to Adeltown soon after some 10 yrs 'in exile' in London and Sydney.

By the way the latest Knight Frank report on the Adelaide office market from last month is avail and is pretty upbeat on Adelaide considering the whole financial crisis scenario:

http://www.knightfrank.com/ResearchRepo ... /11398.pdf

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#307 Post by Omicron » Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:17 pm

Adelarch wrote:
UrbanSG wrote:I found a copy of the April 2008 Knight Frank Office Market Overview by chance today on the internet. Overall it is very positive. Makes for an interesting read. Particularly page 6 with tenant requirements. The ATO not is mentioned as it was in the AFR but that may a print timing issue. The other major requirements are listed though.

Also page 4 is interesting, some mooted developments I had not heard of before.

Hope this link works.

http://www.knightfrank.com/ResearchRepo ... /11336.pdf
..dredging up an old thread. Was looking through Loucas Zahos website after seeing the new renders for 82 Flinders St and found a (possibly outdated) render of 62-66 Currie Street as referred to in this document. Incidentally its only a couple of doors down from our beloved 20-22 Currie St...something very melbourne about it:
Image
Oh my.

I don't give a suitcase if it can't be supported financially or other such economic pish-posh - build that immediately. How tremendous!

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#308 Post by AtD » Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:44 pm

Adelarch wrote:yep its awesome! Personally I'm hoping to move back to Adeltown soon after some 10 yrs 'in exile' in London and Sydney.

By the way the latest Knight Frank report on the Adelaide office market from last month is avail and is pretty upbeat on Adelaide considering the whole financial crisis scenario:

http://www.knightfrank.com/ResearchRepo ... /11398.pdf
Thanks for that. It's very optimistic about the national economy too. But forecasts are forecasts, everyone knows agents like to over-sell things...

Anyway, I noticed this:
"An additional 4,500m² of office space at 167-169 Fullarton Road, Dulwich is expected to come online early 2009."
Anyone know what it is?

A brief executive summary for those who CBF reading the PDF.
Continued strength in the local economy will continue to translate into robust tenant demand and underpin the pre-commitment market. Mining demand is strong and is expected to continue with growth in mining and associated services - including engineering, surveyors, planners, geologists, energy companies and IT services - where their expertise will be required to support the mining companies. The government is a major space occupier and there are still signs of growth in the public sector, with various active requirements in the market, including the SA Police.
• The new supply coming online before 2011 is predominantly demand driven with a majority committed. Developers are facing increased construction costs and also require a minimum 60%-75% level of pre commitments to satisfy financiers. These tighter funding conditions will also reduce the risk of unsustainable levels of development and is likely to postpone several mooted developments over this next cycle.
• Vacancy is currently at record lows and it is anticipated that the Core vacancy rate will trend further below 4% over the next 2 years which will underpin rental growth in both the prime and secondary segments of the market. Knight Frank Research forecast that the Adelaide Core will have the biggest upswing in effective rental growth of all major CBD's over the next 3-5 years. Effective rental growth in the prime Core sector of between 8%-10% per annum is projected over the next 3 years as incentives reduce from circa 15% to sub 10% as further space is absorbed. As there is minimal vacancy in the secondary market, we would expect rents to grow at a similar rate to the prime sector over the same period.
• Due to the upswing in demand over the past 2 years, relatively low supply levels coming on compared with other markets around Australia and as average rents and capital values are comparatively good value relative to other CBD markets, the Adelaide market presents one of the best investment opportunities in Australia. The global ‘credit crunch’ and the increased difficulty for purchasers in obtaining finance has reduced demand for commercial property, subsequently yields have softened around 75 basis points since January 2008. Upward pressure on yields will remain over the next twelve months however will stablise over the medium term, as we anticipate strong rental growth (brought about by low vacancy and high demand for prime space) will compensate a proportion of the loss of capital value from easing yields.
It also notes that white collar employment is growing significantly faster than the population growth rate.
Finally, their forecast:
Supply: Up
Vacancy: Down
Rents: Up
Incentives: No change
Demand: Up
Yield: Up.

Not bad, all things considering.

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#309 Post by Will » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:41 pm

^^The building at 167-169 Fullarton Road is a new development comprising a 3 level mixed use building, comprising the first 2 levels as office space and 2 apartments on the top floor. The building will include a 2 level basement carpark.

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#310 Post by AtD » Thu Oct 30, 2008 7:01 am

Thanks, Will.

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#311 Post by AG » Sat Feb 07, 2009 9:49 am

Adelaide city space is in demand
Maurice Dunlevy | February 05, 2009
Article from: The Australian

ADELAIDE has again stumped critics by hosting the only CBD market in Australia not to record an increase in office vacancies in the second half of last year.

While Canberra had the highest vacancies, empty office space in Adelaide's core dropped from a previous record low of 4 per cent to only 3.4 per cent in a result hailed by the Property Council as a show of confidence in South Australia's medium-term economic future.

"What this fall shows is that, despite all the pessimism, business sees a strong future in SA," said Property Council SA division executive director Nathan Paine.

"What we now have is the second-tightest CBD market in mainland Australia.

"There is no doubt that if this continues we will see more cranes on the skyline, putting up the buildings to house our growing workforce."

Mr Paine said the latest figures added weight to a growing sense that South Australia was better placed than many other states to weather the economic storm.

Access Economics tells us that South Australia's prospects are almost the best in the nation, and that the city should expect "unprecedented levels of growth", Mr Paine said.

Demand for natural resources would would recover, and the defence industry in the state would continue to grow regardless of the economic slowdown, he said.

Net office absorption, or space leased, in the South Australian capital was 10,278sqm, almost double the average absorption rate of the past 15 years.

Areas surrounding the CBD, Adelaide's Frame and Fringe, both recorded vacancies below 4percent. The frame (near city) vacancy rate of 3.5 per cent was in spite of a record 31,884sqm of new supply.

The Adelaide results were in marked contrast to Canberra, which had expected more demand after the election of the Rudd Government.

However, 86,484sqm of new supply -- more than twice the 15-year average -- pushed Canberra vacancies from 6.1 to 8.5 per cent in the six-month period.

A Grade vacancies almost doubled to a high of 12 per cent because of 59,275sqm of new stock.

B Grade vacancies rose from 2per cent to 3.2 per cent on the back of 27,209sqm of new stock.

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The State of Key Adelaide Hotels

#312 Post by soneilll » Thu Feb 12, 2009 9:18 am

What is everyones thoughts on the state of Adelaide's Hotels? Each time I pass the Hilton in the morning it appears to be getting a lighter shade of sand (is that the sun bleaching it?).

The same with the decor of the Hyatt. A rusty 1980's copper environment isn't going to cut it if Adelaide is trying to secure itself as a up and coming city. Surley there must be something in the pipeline to get our hotels up to scratch??

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Re: The State of Key Adelaide Hotels

#313 Post by Omicron » Fri Feb 13, 2009 12:10 am

If the lobby of the Hyatt is changed I will personally castrate everyone involved in the process. That is perhaps the last remaining Adelaidean example of the marvellous ostentation and flamboyance of the 'greed is good' '80s with its monolithic polished granite, mirrored surfaces, gold trim and moody lighting, ever since the Myer Centre, David Jones, Hilton, Westpac House et. al. all fell into the clutches of cheap, forgettable blandness. We will never see quite the same blatant flaunting of wealth in interior design, especially given the trends towards efficiency, industrial-esque minimalism, financial conservatism, and other such dreadfully boring themes. No-one wants to impress the outside world with majestic public spaces, alas.

The Hilton's interior looks like the cookie-cutter suburban-lounge-room-cum-hotel-lobby that it is, with generic colours, carpets, chairs and lighting ill-suited to a hotel of an international standard. I like that they have raised a pricey finger to the ridiculous fad decreeing fountains and water features as somehow wasteful by keeping theirs around, of course, and credit to them for holding onto Cheong Liew and Simon Bryant for as long as they have. Unfortunately, there is little else to grab the eye and demand attention; a shame, really, given the remarkable salience of the Hilton brand.

I like what has been achieved at the Playford on North Terrace, with the decadent fixtures and fittings of a bygone era: lovely ornate iron balustrades, rich red carpets and large chandeliers. However, that frightful metal....thing thrust upon the North Tce entrance looks like entry is permissible only to gynaecologists. Not good, but only a minor blemish on what seems to be a nice place to stay.

I wouldn't worry too much about the exteriors - Melbourne's Hilton on the Park and Sofitel are nothing special, nor Perth's Hilton, Hyatt or Sheraton. The Sydney Hilton shows what can be done with a unforgiving concrete rectangle, but only with a few hundred million dollars, mind.

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Re: #Article : Adelaide CBD highest net absorption ever

#314 Post by peas_and_corn » Tue Feb 17, 2009 8:44 pm

While it's certainly too early to tell- it certainly looks like Adelaide is having a reasonably 'soft landing'.

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Re: The State of Key Adelaide Hotels

#315 Post by Brando » Fri Feb 20, 2009 1:26 am

Sounds promising considering the global climate along with the perception of Adelaide's future.

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/stor ... 82,00.html
Thai whiskey king has eyes on Hyatt

A BILLIONAIRE known as the Whiskey King of Thailand is one of the leading contenders to buy Adelaide's Hyatt Hotel for around $80 million.

Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi's TCC Land company is among bidders for the 20-year-old hotel.

A deal is expected to be finalised within weeks.

The property went on the market last April, with an asking price of around $100 million.

Before the global credit crisis, Forbes magazine estimated Mr Sirivadhanabhakdi's fortune at $US3.9 billion – mainly as a result of being Thailand's market leader in liquor.

David Gibson, of Sydney-based selling agent Jones Lang LaSalle, would not discuss the parties in negotiation but said the property had attracted plenty of attention.

"It's the leading hotel in the city and the city is doing well at the moment and the buyers think it's got a pretty good future," he said.

"Adelaide has attracted interest because it's more insulated than a lot of other places from what's going on around the world."

Collier's International commercial agent Alistair Mackie said the weaker Australian dollar and Adelaide's rising yields were making SA more attractive to buyers, particularly from Asia and Europe. "The ATO building in Waymouth St was bought by Malaysian interests for $51 million," he said.

"We're anticipating more of it (foreign buyers) . . . not a flood but definitely more."

The expected Hyatt sale comes as Adelaide's hotel market is set for a major injection from the $150 million Crown Plaza at Hindmarsh Square and the $65 million Majestic Garden hotel in the West End.

Australian Hotels Association general manager Ian Horne said the sale was further evidence of SA "punching above its weight".



The 388-room, five-star Hyatt was put on the market after its owner, Grand Hotels Group, was taken over. Mr Sirivadhanabhakdi's Bangkok-based company has hotels in London, New York and Beijing and recently bought the Novotel Rockford in Sydney and the Hyatt in Canberra.

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